Forecast for House Midterm Elections - Point of View

By: projects.fivethirtyeight.com – Updated Aug. 16, 2018, at 7:22 PM

Graph Showing:

3 in 4 Chance Democrats win control (74.6%)
1 in 4 Chance Republicans keep control (25.4%)

Graph Showing: Forecast for every districy

Graph Showing: Breakdown of seats byparty↑

80% chance Democrats gain 14 to 57.5 seats
10% chance Democrats gainfewer than 14 seats
10% chance Democrats gainmore than 57.5 seats
+58+35 Democratic seats
AVG. GAIN+14

Graph Showing: FiveThirtyEight’s predictions for the 2018 House elections

To see the graphs and cartograms, please click read more.

Source: 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

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