VIEW VIEWPOINT

Electoral Map

Written by Kerby Anderson March 10 - 2016
If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how difficult would it be for him to be elected president? To understand the challenge, it is worth looking at the electoral map. Any Republican nominee faces some significant challenges. A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to be elected president. Hillary Clinton starts with a significant advantage since there are 18 states and the District of Columbia that have voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. They are New England states (except New Hampshire) and a number of other Eastern states (Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania). They also include states in the upper Midwest (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). And they also include the West Coast states (California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington). These 18 states and D.C. total 242 electoral votes. Hilary Clinton only needs to find 28 more electoral votes in order to achieve the 270 electoral votes. If Donald Trump cannot challenge in any of these blue states, then he must keep all the red states and nearly run the table on most of the toss up states (like Florida, Ohio, and Virginia). America’s demographic makeup is another significant challenge. President Obama received over 90 percent of the African-American vote and over 70 percent of the Hispanic-American vote. Hillary Clinton may not do quite as well but her vote percentages will certainly be close to those of candidate Barack Obama. Will Donald Trump receive more than 10 percent of the Black vote? Perhaps, but that is doubtful. Will he receive more than 30 percent of the Latino vote? That is certainly unlikely since Donald Trump’s negatives among Hispanics are the highest of any Republican candidate. Once you look at the electoral map, you can see why many question whether Donald Trump could win in November. Viewpoints by Kerby Anderson

Listen to this Viewpoint

Viewpoints

View All
1780970146 6a2772a202059
June 9, 2026
Kerby Anderson

High and Low

If you look at the American economy, you see a high and a low. The stock market is at a record high, while consumer sentiment is at the lowest ever measured.

Listen
Book cover faith affirming findings
June 8, 2026
Kerby Anderson

Faith-Affirming Findings

Biblical archaeology seems to be going through a “golden age of apologetics.” One illustration is the fact that over the last two months I have had the privilege of interviewing three authors on their...

Listen
1780883379 6a261fb3cd354
June 5, 2026
Kerby Anderson

Historical Ignorance

Years ago, a doctor wrote an article entitled, “What’s Keeping David McCullough from Sleeping?” This noted historian and award-winning author had trouble sleeping because he was worrying about what wa...

Listen

Take Action

View All
Support the Safeguarding Women from Chemical Abortion Act
April 15, 2026

Support the Safeguarding Women from Chemical Abortion Act

The abortion pill harms women and kills unborn children. Congress must act.

Support the SAVE Act
April 2, 2026

Support the SAVE Act

SAVE Election Integrity with Voter ID.

FACE Act Repeal Act of 2025
January 12, 2026

FACE Act Repeal Act of 2025

Pro-lifers have been abused under the FACE Act for long enough.

Contact Congress About the Prevent Government Shutdowns Act of 2025
October 15, 2025

Contact Congress About the Prevent Government Shutdowns Act of 2025

Congress needs to get the job done, not run away from work.